For those following the brinkmanship between Putin and Obama, you may have noticed an alarming if not unexpected development. It has been the unspoken policy of the two leaders that if Obama were to allow Putin to have his way in the Ukraine region, Putin would allow Obama to have his way in the Syria region. Since early 2014, this is how it has played out, and has kept the two super powers from throttling each other's necks.
However, in the past few days, all that has changed. Apparently Putin has decided to send Russian military units and equipment into Syria. While the US claims to be closely monitoring this situation, saying that they do not know if Russia is actually aiding Assad or merely trying to fight against ISIS, you can be sure of one thing -- Putin has broken the unspoken policy that has kept a fragile, albeit lasting peace thus far.
Putin has decided he doesn't really care for this unspoken deal, and wants to help his long time ally Assad, or -- even if it turns out he is merely sending troops to quash ISIS, he still wants to exert Russian influence in the region. Obama will undoubtedly find this unacceptable as the whole reason he has not intervened in Ukraine is because of the silent promise Putin would not interfere in Syria. For reasons only known to Putin, he has decided this agreement with Obama is no longer in his best interests and doesn't believe the US has the guts or will to stop him. And, of course, looking at the feckless foreign policy of Obama, he is probably right.
So, Obama is now pinned into a corner. He gave up any pretense of interfering with the Ukraine situation, but now finds Putin not only charging forward in Ukraine, but also Syria. It will be interesting to see how Obama responds. Thus far, the White House is merely monitoring the situation. But what happens if Obama decides Putin has violated their unspoken agreement and now moves with aggression toward Russia? It's hard to say what Obama may do at this point, but he is almost sure to push back against Russia if it is found Russia is aiding Assad. Would Obama also begin pushing back against Russia via NATO in the Ukraine region? It's possible. It would be his way of sending a message back to Putin that if one can break an agreement, so can two.
Whatever the case, it seems we once more have the distinct possibility of a World War between Russian and the US coming to the fore.
Daniel 11: 27 - And both these kings' hearts shall be to do mischief, and they shall speak lies at one table; but it shall not prosper: for yet the end shall be at the time appointed.